Podcast: When Will the Bitcoin Bear Market End?
On-Chain, Macro & the 4-Year Cycle
Dear Bitcoiners,
I’m excited to share an early newsletter this week with a brand-new podcast episode discussing Bitcoin’s current condition.
Joe Burnett, VP of Bitcoin Strategy at Strive and host of The Mustard Seed Podcast, invited me on to discuss what is happening with Bitcoin and its current crash. We cover everything you need to know about the crash, the 4-year cycle, macro, gold, and the key on-chain indicators.
Key Topics We Discussed
(Live chart access for paid subscribers!)
4-year cycle:
Spiral chart: still “right on track”
Bear market: breaking down from the bull market growth channel
On-chain bear market signs: STH profit
Where we are in the cycle:
STH bands based on profit and loss
Realized Price at $55k
Reasons for the drop:
Quantum Threat
Macro
Hodler sell pressure
Bitcoin & Macro:
Risk assets vs. safe haven
Hype of AI and Gold
Halving cycle vs. business cycle (PMI)
Path Forward:
Broken Bitcoin thesis vs. hyperbitcoinization
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Watch the FULL EPISODE here:
As always, your thoughts and feedback are welcome, feel free to share them in the comments! 🧡 👊
Until next time, 🫡
-Root



gud analyses, I appreciate it.